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Losses

Low Risk Bets

Ok, so you go to the roulette table and you put your chip on black. A black number hits and you get paid even money. You then go to the craps table and make a Come Bet: the shooter rolls an 11 and you get even money again. Easy this gambling stuff isn’t it? Make a low risk bet and it will pay off, right? After all; you have a 50/50 chance of winning. Well, this is not entirely true. The even money payout does not mean an even money game.

Low risk bets are there for a reason. They are considered low risk for the player as there is a good chance of hitting. But there is certainly not an even chance of winning. Consider the roulette wheel for a moment. If you bet on any even money bet and the zero hits, you lose. End of story. If you’re on an American table, there’s the double zero to contend with. This means double the trouble. Now, a come bet on the craps table will win initially with a 7 or 11, but will lose if any of three numbers (2, 3, or 12) are rolled. Again, this is not quite as fair as it initially seemed. In all these examples, the casino still has the edge.

Yes the edge is minimal but it is still there. These bets are also considered low risk for the casino. The reason is that any winning bets will not require a large payout. Therefore, players can continue to hit and the casino will be safe financially. The casino will still win more hands than the players on average, and will come out on top. A common term within the gambling world is “the grind effect”. This refers to the way in which casino eventually grind down player bankrolls through a series of misplaced low risk bets.

Though this may sound exaggerated, it in fact makes sense. These bets do not provide enough winnings to cover any losses made. And you will lose eventually; the small casino edge is still stacked against you. If you play only low risk bets then this will eventually sap your bankroll unless you hit an extremely lucky streak. This is fine if your aim when playing is to stay at the tables for as long a time as possible. The low risk bets are good for that purpose. But if you want to make money then they will not enable this. The only way to make money is to accompany the low risk bet with something more risky, but which will reap better rewards.

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Roulette Betting Strategies

People often ask me about betting strategies for roulette and the truth is that I don’t ever really know what to tell them. On the one hand it is a game of chance; a sequence of independent events with independent outcomes. On the other hand the betting can be controlled and manipulated. So, I normally outline the most popular strategies whilst emphasizing that none are fool proof.

Probably the most used strategy is called Martingale. This strategy goes on the basis that loosing streaks don’t last long and as long as it does you double your bet. The Martingale can be used only on red/black or odd/even. So, if you bet $10 on red and loose, you should next bet $20. If you loose again; put down $40 on red. Sooner or later the ball will fall on red, and because you’ve double always, you will recoup whatever you my have lost previously, plus the amount of your starting bet – do the math, it does work. A supped up version of the Martingale is the Grand Martingale. The Grand Martingale follows the same basis except that instead of just doubling, you double and add the amount of your original bet; $10 first bet, $30 second, $70 third etc. The idea of adding the original bet is that it simply increases your profit when you win. Another strategy that people may be familiar with is the Cancellation theory. This method determines the amount you bet with in order to cover any losses. You write 10×1 on a piece of paper. You add together the 2 digits from the left to determine the amount you bet so the first will be 2 chips. If you win you strike them off, if you loose you add that sum to the end and you add the digit on the left to the digit on the right to determine the amount you bet next, this continues until you strike them all off which should mean that you’ve won!

I have seen people winning using these strategies. One must be careful of the maximum bet of the table; if you reach the maximum bet when using the Martingale; if the table limit is reached and you haven’t won the whole theory falls apart. Also, the cancellation method can take a very long time to reap results. Personally, I think that whilst these methods can, and often do work, they beg the question “where’s the fun?????” Seriously, roulette is one of the most fun games at the casino, what’s the point in throwing away the excitement and sense of chance for the nearly guaranteed systematic winning of 10 or 20 dollars!

The best bet, I think is not to follow strategies but rather simple guidelines; know your limits, know your odds, don’t bet on the 5 line (it’s less likely to win than any of the other rows), but most importantly have fun – hope to win but don’t gamble your pension on it; in short, don’t take it too seriously, and enjoy!

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