At Roulette tables online and in the real world, I’ve played this very conservative system and I want to share it with you. The idea for the system is pretty simple. Let’s think about a coin for a moment. One side is heads and the other is tails. Technically, each side has a 50% probability of showing up if you flipped it.
Now, imagine you flipped the coin twice. Would it always be one heads and one tails? Of course not. Roulette has a similar “coin.” The even money bets (Red – Back, Odd – Even, etc) are close to the same. The American Roulette wheel has two zero, which alters the probability a little. And the Euro version has a single zero.
That said, the concept is the same. You may have a series of “heads” come up, but at some point “tails” will come up. And while on each flip the probability (50%) doesn’t change, the running probability does. With each flip of heads, the probability that the next flip will be heads goes down—drastically.
With all of this in mind, we move to the system. We’re going to watch the spins of the Roulette wheel and chart the outcomes. We’re looking for action on the even money bets. For instance, if the last spin was black 17, then we’d have a count of: Black 1, Odd 1, and 1-18 1. If the next spin is black 20, the new count would be: Black 2, Even 1 and 19-36 1. Okay, got the concept?
Here’s the key to all of this. The probability of any even money bet coming up five times in a row is only about 4% on American Roulette and 3.5% on the European version. Therefore, if we watch the game and wait for any even money bet to come up four times and then bet the opposite for the next spin, we have a 96% – 96.5% chance of winning our wager. That’s pretty solid.
You can play this system two ways. First, you can keep it all single bets. So, if you lose, you just reset the count at 1 and make the same bet when the count is back to 4. Another way, perhaps more dangerous, is to use a small progression ladder, such as 1, 2, 4 and 8. If your wager loses, you bet the next step on the ladder for the next spin. Personally, I don’t like ladder systems. There’s too much potential to lose a ton in a hurry.
Either way you go, this can be a fun little system to mess with. Of course, no system is foolproof, so don’t go betting the house.
